Why did dark moths become more common near smoky cities?

Long ago, the moths on the trees were mostly pale. Then cities filled the air with smoke — and the moths went dark. Did the smoke paint them? Or is something sneakier going on? Let's run it and see.

1Two things to know first

Hiding in plain sight — and the color you're born with

You only need two ideas. Watch each one move:

Matching = hiding

An animal that matches what it sits on is hard to spot. One that doesn't match pops right out — and a hungry bird grabs the one it can see.

You're born your color

A moth is one color its whole life — it can't repaint itself. But its babies aren't all the same: some hatch pale, some hatch dark, like brown and black puppies in one litter.

2Meet the two moths

The pale one and the dark one

Both colors can live on the same tree. On clean, pale bark, watch who blends in and who sticks out:

The pale one

Cream with speckles

On clean pale bark it almost disappears — the bird flies right past it.

The dark one

Deep charcoal

On that same pale bark it's a black dot — easy for the bird to spot and grab.

3Your turn — smoke up the tree

Drag the soot and watch who hides now

Slide the smoke up and down. The bark changes — but look closely: no moth ever changes its own color. What changes is how easy each one is to spot. Watch the "easy to spot" meters move.

Pale moth — easy to spot?
almost invisible
Dark moth — easy to spot?
sticks out a lot
Smoke in the air: clean
CLEAN BARKSOOTY BARK

4Now let it run for real

Sooty bark — but what if there are no birds?

Start with six pale and six dark moths on sooty bark. Now remove the birds. Keep the bark, starting moths, and breeding rule the same. Predict what four generations will do when this one part of the system is missing. Afterward, bring the bird back for a comparison.

Guess before you run it

The bark stays dark, but there is no bird. Food and space are plentiful. After four generations, will dark moths become more common in this model?